Texas early voting data suggests Hispanic vote shift to the GOP continues


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Early voting evaluation in two primarily Hispanic counties alongside the Texas border suggests Republicans are outpacing Democrats in voter enthusiasm and maybe turnout, and Hispanic politicians within the state inform Fox Information that its indicative of a bigger pattern.

A report from the political consulting firm Ryan Knowledge & Analysis reveals that Republicans are 76% of the best way to matching 2018 turnout in Cameron County, Texas alongside the southern border with Mexico with eight days remaining till Election Day. In Hidalgo County, which additionally sits on the border with Mexico, turnout is 65% of the best way to matching 2018.

Two Flags waving in the wind on a perfect blue sky day American Flag and Texas Flag

Two Flags waving within the wind on an ideal blue sky day American Flag and Texas Flag
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On the Democrat aspect, the social gathering is barely 59% of the best way to matching 2018 turnout in Cameron County and 47% of the best way in Hidalgo County. 

Hispanic political candidates and operatives in Texas advised Fox Information that the early information factors to a bigger pattern of Hispanic voters, particularly within the Rio Grande Valley, supporting Republican candidates in areas which were predominantly managed by Democrats for many years. 

“I’ve spent a variety of time in Cameron, Hidalgo, and Willacy and all of the counties within the valley, and there has simply been a really totally different vibe with Republican voters,” Republican candidate for Texas Land Commissioner Ben Armenta advised Fox Information. “I meet with people, and a excessive proportion of them are new, and so they’re simply engaged in another way than they’ve been up to now.”

Armenta added that there’s a “new” and “totally different power” with Republican voters within the predominantly Hispanic Rio Grande Valley, the place he believes that the Republican message of household values, border safety and cracking down on crime is resonating with voters. 

“It’s in regards to the points which can be impacting their dwelling,” Armenta mentioned. “The problems which can be impacting their pocket e book, their colleges, the crime of their neighborhoods. When as a Republican candidate, I’m speaking to them and I simply ask them even within the final 13 months of the Biden administration, ‘Are issues higher for you?’ The reply is, ‘No.’”


Armenta defined that Hispanic voters in South Texas are very a lot involved about unlawful immigration of their neighborhoods and help Republican efforts to safe the southern border.

President Biden answers questions during a news conference in the East Room of the White House on Jan. 19, 2022 in Washington.

President Biden solutions questions throughout a information convention within the East Room of the White Home on Jan. 19, 2022 in Washington.
(Chip Somodevilla/Getty Pictures)

“Border safety is all about crime,” Armenta mentioned. “These voters, the Latino voters, are authorized residents. 

“These are individuals who, whether or not they’re first technology or fifth or sixth technology Texans, got here to the U.S. legally. I’m a 3rd technology Mexican-American. My grandparents got here right here legally, and there’s a proper technique to go about doing this. That is an anti-crime stance that the owners, the property house owners — they do not need unlawful immigrants and aliens and criminals crossing their property. They do not need the destruction. They don’t seem to be being reimbursed by the federal authorities when their crops are destroyed, their fields are trampled.

Ivan Andarza, spokesman for Hispanic Republicans of Texas, agreed with Armenta and advised Fox Information that border safety is a matter that has triggered Hispanic voters to vote Republican. 

“Medication are coming throughout the border, cartels are utilizing migrants to flood the border in a method the place everyone is slowed down with them and everybody else runs throughout it,” Andarza mentioned. “We’re residing that down there, so once we hear that all the pieces is ok on the border and we don’t want a border wall anymore, it’s simply at odds with what persons are residing down there. That has sort of turbocharged the motion that was already taking place with the best way that Democrats have modified over the previous few years.”

Former Texas Supreme Courtroom Justice Eva Guzman, who’s working within the Republican main for Texas legal professional normal in subsequent week’s election, defined to Fox Information that Hispanic values are extra consistent with conservatism than the liberal orthodoxy of the Democratic Celebration. 


“Hispanic values are Republican values, and I believe that message is resonating with Hispanics throughout the nation,” Guzman, who was appointed to the Texas Supreme Courtroom by Republican Gov. Rick Perry and received the seat outright in subsequent elections, advised Fox. 

I am Hispanic,” Guzman continued. “My dad and mom had a 3rd grade schooling. They put seven children by means of faculty. They got here right here legally and upheld the rule of regulation. Hispanics don’t desire an AOC socialist woke agenda. They need an agenda that gives alternative. An agenda the place they will see their youngsters develop up and go from a manufacturing unit like me to the Texas Supreme Courtroom. It is simply widespread sense. Hispanics need a nation the place freedom reigns and extra alternative is obtainable regardless of the place you come from. AOC and the woke liberals do not provide that. They provide a socialist agenda that desires to maintain individuals of their place. We do not need that as Hispanics; we reject it.”

Democrats in Texas have “ignored” Hispanic voters and “taken the Hispanic group without any consideration,” Republican judicial candidate for the Texas Thirteenth District Courtroom of Appeals Aaron Peña advised Fox Information.

“We’re law-abiding; we fear about our security; we fear about our financial system; we love our nation,” Peña mentioned about Hispanic voters in South Texas. “And all the pieces the present Democratic Celebration stands for is opposite to that.”

Peña advised Fox Information that border safety is a vital subject to Hispanic voters and says members of his group take subject with the truth that Democrats, including President Joe Biden, have attacked the Border Patrol, which employs a workforce that’s greater than 50% Hispanic.

The assault on the Border Patrol is critical and really private to me as a result of I’ve kinfolk and associates on the Border Patrol,” Peña mentioned. “Most of them are Hispanic, you understand, or individuals from the border. They’re our associates or our neighbors, our cousins or kinfolk, and the assaults on them hit us personally. We take it private as a result of they’re merely attempting to do their job. They usually’re not getting any help from the present administration.”

Peña, who publicly left the Democratic Celebration to grow to be a Republican in 2010, added that the Hispanic group in South Texas is a “regulation and order” group that’s being negatively affected by the unchecked wave of unlawful immigrants throughout the border.

“We really feel it immediately,” Peña  mentioned. “Our colleges are being overcrowded as a result of we’re required to take all individuals, not essentially all residents. Our hospitals are overburdened. Our well being care is in jeopardy as a result of lots of the individuals who come are carrying diseases, and so they’re launched into the group.”

Each Andarza and Peña defined that Democratic Celebration’s help of abortion has additionally alienated Hispanic voters who’re largely Catholic and pro-life.

Migrants are seen at the Rio Grande near the Del Rio-Acuna Port of Entry in Del Rio, Texas.

Migrants are seen on the Rio Grande close to the Del Rio-Acuna Port of Entry in Del Rio, Texas.
(Charlie C. Peebles/Anadolu Company through Getty Pictures)

“Most of our persons are Catholic, and they’re pious Catholics,” Peña mentioned. “They comply with their traditions, and a kind of traditions is respecting life, and the Democratic Celebration not tolerates a pro-life Democrat.”

Republicans have continued to make severe inroads with Hispanic voters, recent polls have shown, and that is very true in Texas, the place the GOP has ramped up its investments in Hispanic communities. 

Macarena Martinez, the Republican Nationwide Committee’s Texas communications director, advised Fox Information Digital earlier this month that the RNC’s funding within the Lone Star State is the most important within the group’s historical past. 


Former President Donald Trump increased his help from Hispanic voters in 2020 in comparison with 2016 and made vital inroads with Hispanic voters in Texas, together with a victory over Biden within the border county of Zapata, the place a Republican had not received a presidential election since Reconstruction. 

“We’re going to proceed to see the expansion of Hispanics within the Republican Celebration,” Andarza advised Fox Information. “It is going to be Hispanics who hold Texas crimson.”

Fox Information’ Houston Keene contributed to this report


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